2019 is going to be a career defining year for Allen Robinson. The former Jaguar turned Bear came off a torn ACL to post solid, if not underwhelming, numbers.
Below are his 2018 Stats:
It seems the general assumption is that Robinson will turn these numbers around and grow alongside Mitch Trubisky and the Bears offense. People are basing this off of Robinson’s successful 2016 campaign in which he put up over 1400 yards. Still, it is becoming apparent that Allen Robinson is not the best fit for the Bears offense and the way they play. While the Bears offense is built on running the ball and quick releases, Robinson is more adept at the intermediate level and jump ball situations. He does not see these situations too often with the Bears. Still not convinced? Not to worry. Below are three reasons why you should avoid Allen Robinson in 2019.
Lack of Red Zone Targets
Robinson has never been a TD heavy receiver (besides 2015). Still, his Red Zone target share was as underwhelming as meeting your Tinder match in person. In an offense where he was meant to be THE guy, Robinson received an 18.8% target share in the Red Zone. Unless your first name is Julio last name Jones, those are not the type of numbers that will lead you to a WR1 finish in fantasy. With so many talented players around him, it is unlikely that these Red Zone numbers will go up. Which leads to the next problem…
The Bears are not hurting for talent. Despite his disappointing 2018 season, Trey Burton is poised to improve in 2019 with another year under the system and the same can be said of Rookie sensation Anthony Miller, who scored 7 touchdowns on 33 receptions. His 21.9% target share from 2018 could very well go down, but it’s hard to imagine it going up with so much young and growing talent around him. Anthony Miller, in particular, showed great potential and seems like an excellent fit in Nagy’s offense. Expect Trubisky and the Bears offense to improve in 2019 with all these playmakers, but Robinson may suffer individually because of it.
The Bears are a Run First Team
The Bears have built a contender through their defense and run game. Like the Seahawks of the early 2010’s, the Bears like to pound the rock first and then complement that style with a balanced aerial attack. This style is precisely why they drafted David Montgomery, someone who fits their style while also being able to catch passes out of the backfield. Their defense is rock solid and their primary way to win games which will lead to many low scoring, grind it out type games. They also like to use their speed to throw the ball downfield, but the speedster is Anthony Miller, not Allen Robinson. If you liked the Superbowl last year, you’ll love watching the Bears this year. If you have Allen Robinson, however… maybe not as much.
So what do you think? Do you foresee a WR2 type year from Robinson, or has he peaked as a player? Let us know in the comments!