By Angel Maldonado Tejada @AngelTejadaFF
The Cardinal Sin of Dynasty League drafts is looking too much towards the future and not the present. That’s why established players like Julio Jones will often drop to the late third-round of Dynasty drafts, while simultaneously coming off of the board nearly a full round earlier in Redraft leagues. As a result, we have to look deeper to find league-winning sleepers in redraft leagues. Below are 5 sleepers that you can’t pass up on during your 2020 drafts.
There’s been plenty of hype centered around Kenny Golladay and his WR1 upside, deservedly so; Golladay is the explosive, big-bodied receiver the Lions have lacked since the sudden retirement of Calvin Johnson. What many have failed to acknowledge is that while Golladay may be the WR1A, Marvin Jones is a close WR1B in the team’s pecking order. With Matthew Stafford under-center through Week 9 of last season, Golladay (WR11) and Jones(WR14) had virtually the same stats. Take a look for yourself if you don’t believe me.
|Player||Kenny Golladay||Marvin Jones|
|Receptions (w/ Stafford)||35||42|
|Yards (w/ Stafford)||640||535|
|Touchdowns (w/ Stafford)||7||6|
Jones is a threat at all levels of the field for Stafford. The Lions should also be a team that will need to throw the ball early and often based on what we saw from them last season. With the addition of running back D’Andre Swift, we should see a much more efficient offense from the Lions this season. If this is in fact the case, then any self-respecting fantasy manager should be buying shares of this offense. Marvin Jones presents a great value and should make for a solid WR3 in all formats, although he could be extra valuable in standard leagues.
Bridgewater showed he is still a viable starting QB in the NFL last season, throwing 9 touchdown passes during the five-game stretch where he filled in for an injured Drew Brees. Now, I’m not saying you should roll with Bridgewater as your starting quarterback and expect to get elite production off the bat. Rather, Bridgewater serves as the perfect late-round QB target, as he’s a player who you can take with one of your last picks in non-SuperFlex leagues in order to hedge your bets against a more combustible starting option (Daniel Jones, Josh Allen, etc). There is also the potential for Bridgewater to reach a level resembling his ceiling thanks to a variety of factors that are going his way this season.
Teddy Bridgewater had the NFL’s lowest average depth of target in 2019 🤫 pic.twitter.com/l60T0bFR0x
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) July 10, 2020
The Panthers have equipped Bridgewater with explosive, athletic pass-catching options that excel at creating yardage after the catch such as D.J Moore (392 YAC last season) and perennial breakout candidate Curtis Samuel (who was among the league leaders in air yards last season). Considering Bridgewater’s greatest strength is his prowess on short/intermediate throws, the former first-round pick has found himself in an ideal situation. As if that wasn’t evidence enough, the Panthers also have the second easiest schedule for the QB position (via FantasyPros). We saw what Bridgewater’s new OC Joe Brady did for Joe Burrow last season, taking the former Ohio State castoff from game manager to record-setting Heisman front runner. Now just imagine what he can do for a player of Bridgewater’s caliber. There are absolutely zero risks when it comes to drafting Bridgewater this season and a lot of upside. If you decide to roll with the former Louisville star as your starting QB, you’ll be picking up an insane value as you fill out the rest of your roster.
Jamison Crowder is a perfect late-round target. The former Duke star currently has ADP which lands him as the WR55, an absurdly low spot for a receiver that just finished as the WR26 in PPR leagues, with little evidence to suggest that there’s a regression coming. For all the hate that Adam Gase receives, his slot receivers have consistently found success in the NFL (276 catches over three years in Miami) and the Jets lack other viable receiving options despite the additions of Denzel Mims and Breshad Perriman (I’m not buying the Perriman hype, but that’s another story). Crowder’s 2019 target share of 24.7% is a reasonable number to expect from the talented slot wide receiver in 2020, a number that ranked 14th in the NFL in 2020. I also can’t help but think Gase will start to throw the ball when trailing more often this season, something he seemingly refused to do last season as he finished 23rd in the league in passing rate while trailing. In other words, I view Crowder’s 2019 season as his floor in the Jets offense. Few wide receivers with such a high floor are available past the 9th round, much less the last round of a draft. Grab Crowder as your bye week/injury replacement and you’ll be adding much-needed depth to your championship roster.
We’ve talked about Jarwin in the past, but he remains an outstanding value for anyone who has decided to stream Tight Ends or wants a high-upside, low-cost player at the position. Enter Blake Jarwin, the TE1 of the Dallas Cowboys who just received a 4-year deal worth over 20 million dollars following the departure of Cowboys stalwart Jason Witten. The concerns regarding the various mouths to feed in the Cowboys offense are overblown, with the Cowboys having vacated the second-most targets in the league with the departures of Randall Cobb, Tavon Austin, and the aforementioned Jason Witten. Jarwin averaged 8.9 yards per target in 2019 and had a 92.7% catchable target rate on just 41 targets. Keep in mind, Witten had 83 targets last season, a more than reasonable number for Jarwin to reach. Even if his efficiency drops with more targets, Jarwin is sure to make up for it and then some with more opportunities being afforded to him. My only real concern when it comes to Jarwin is his schedule, as the Cowboys will be facing 9 out of the 15 teams that were considered above-average at defending against tight ends. Still, there is no downside to drafting Jarwin with one of your late-round picks. At worst, you lose a late-round pick. At best, you could be gaining a low-end TE1 for the season at no cost.
My colleague Alex has spoken at length about the Bengals offense and the ways in which it will change in 2020 so I don’t want to dwell on this for too long, but the way Boyd is being overlooked should be considered a crime. Boyd is the WR1 (sorry A.J Green) on a team that is going to be trailing plenty in 2020. Even with a rookie QB under-center, Boyd’s ADP of 81 (WR35) is insane. For context, he’s being drafted after players such as Devante Parker, Marquise Brown, Courtland Sutton, and Deebo Samuel (!!!). I’d be happy to take Boyd as my WR2; his current ADP makes him a league winner. Don’t hesitate to pull the trigger when the sixth round comes around, you’ll be happy you did.