by Alex Kurpeski and Angel Maldonado Tejada
Searching for fantasy football value picks who may prove to be league winners? Alex and Angel have identified two players on the Jets you may want to keep an eye on come draft day!
Alex’s Pick: WR Jamison Crowder, ADP of 10.07 (as of August 6th , 2020)
An incredibly unsexy pick, Crowder feels like a relatively obvious choice, as the only proven commodity on a Jets offense that’s starved for talent. Crowder’s function in the Jets offense has been eerily similar to the role that Jarvis Landry filled for the Dolphins during Adam Gase’s first tenure as an NFL head coach. In his first season with New York Crowder saw a career-high 122 targets as the team’s principle slot receiver, parlaying his 24.7% target share into 78 receptions, 833 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns, good for a WR26 finish in PPR formats. Crowder benefited from the Jets insistence upon throwing short throws, as his average air yardage per-target (4.0) and per-reception (6.2) were the lowest among top-30 fantasy finishers at the position.
Highest-graded WRs when lined up in the slot in 2019:
1. Chris Godwin – 96.5
2. Tyler Lockett – 94.5
2. Golden Tate – 94.5
4. Jamison Crowder – 93.7 pic.twitter.com/it5nMA2a6S
— PFF (@PFF) June 27, 2020
In many ways, the Jets offense put Crowder to use in the most optimal way, as the slot specialist was put in a position to rack up yards after the catch rather than contending for more contested passes, though his 38.5% catch rate on contested throws was one of the higher marks among slot receivers. With Robby Anderson departing, only to be replaced by the underwhelming Breshad Perriman and rookie Denzel Mims, it’s possible that we see Crowder have a much larger role in the passing game this season. The pandemic shortened offseason will likely leave many of the team’s new additions a bit behind when it comes to being integrated into the offensive game plan. Given that Crowder and RB Le’Veon Bell are the only real holdovers from last season’s team, I expect the Jets to run their offense directly through this duo. In fact, I would even call the former Duke standout a sneaky WR1 candidate. At his current ADP Crowder is an absolute steal, coming off of the board as the WR45. While his ceiling in non-PPR leagues may not be as high, I’ll be taking Crowder in rounds 9-12 ten times out of ten.
Angel’s Pick: Le’veon Bell, ADP of 3.10 (as of August 6th, 2020)
Let me start off by saying: Jamison Crowder is indeed the best value on the Jets. He has Top-15 PPR potential and you should pounce on him if he’s available past the 8th round.
That being said, Le’Veon Bell is not being talked about nearly enough at his current price. His current ADP of 3.10 implies that he will see little to no improvement from last year’s RB16 finish. In reality, there is reason to be hopeful despite the presence of Adam Gase as head coach.
Side note: Seeing a positive Gase comment about Bell certainly helped me feel better about this pick.
Gase says Le’Veon Bell is “extremely motivated” and in “phenomenal shape.” #Jets
— Rich Cimini (@RichCimini) August 5, 2020
For starters, a healthy Sam Darnold should help the Jets move the ball down the field and provide Bell with more opportunities to score. After scoring only three touchdowns in 2019, Bell is due for major positive regression in the touchdowns department and a healthy Darnold will go a long way towards making that a reality. In addition, the signings of Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims should help propel a passing game that’s been unable to be effective in recent seasons. Lastly, Bell still figures to be one of the most prominently featured backs in the league. With a snap share of 87.2% in 2019, Bell will rarely come off the field and he is a true workhorse back. While Gase has expressed a desire to keep Bell fresher this season, any work lost because of that can safely be replaced with psoitive regression in both his YPC and touchdowns. Last year figures to be as bad as it gets for Bell, and he is primed to return RB1 numbers at a fraction of the cost.
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