Alex’s Pick: RB Leonard Fournette, ADP of 3.05 (As of August 2, 2020)
I have a complex relationship with Leonard Fournette, as I imagine many of you do as well. In his rookie campaign Fournette managed to live up to the lofty expectations derived from his selection as the fourth overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft, finishing as the RB9 in PPR despite missing three contests.
Anecdote Time: Fournette was my second round pick in my friends and family league this season, a year in which I would go on to win the championship on the strength of a perfectly drafted team that also featured Melvin Gordon, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Christian McCaffrey, and Zach Ertz in their breakout campaigns. While fully aware of his injury issues, as well as the fact that Fournette had averaged only 3.9 YPC, I drafted Fournette as my second round pick again in 2018, blinded by his high volume usage and touchdown production. I was rewarded with an injury riddled campaign filled with inefficiencies and pain.
Fournette bounced back quite remarkably in 2019, staying relatively healthy (missing only one game with the flu) and finishing as the RB7 in PPR despite scoring only three touchdowns. His heavy usage (91.7% snap share, 90.1% opportunity share) put him second to only Christian McCaffrey in the category of “bellcow” running backs. While I’ve been burned in the past chasing Fournette’s volume in the Jaguars offense, I see him as an absolute steal as a player with a RB2 floor and a RB1 ceiling in round three. Even with the addition of veteran third down back Chris Thompson — who we can presume will take a decent chunk of Fournette’s passing down work — I see the former LSU standout as a worthwhile investment at his current ADP.
TE Josh Oliver, ADP of Undrafted
It’s easy to forget that Josh Oliver was a 3rd round pick in 2019. Oliver has the physical tools to be an impact player in the NFL, with his 4.63 40 yard dash ranking in the 87th percentile for his position. That speed will allow Oliver to stretch the middle of the field and create space for himself and others. Don’t forget, Josh Oliver finished first among TE’s in contested catches (16) his senior season.
While the Jaguars signed Tyler Eifert this offseason, that’s a name we’ve not heard in any meaningful capacity for years and Oliver should be given every opportunity to win the starting job. Gardner Minshew has shown a real talent for throwing the ball deep in his short run at the Jaguars QB and having Josh Oliver would only give him another explosive weapon on the field. In a growing offense with a young QB under center, Oliver may prove a fantasy relevant asset for little to no cost.